Saturday, March 5, 2016

What Lies Ahead For the ‘Dark Knight?

Chris Saunders discusses what lies ahead for the Met's ace pitcher Matt Harvey.


Article by Chris Saunders

The relationship between the Mets and Matt Harvey has soured recently, as the two sides engaged in a very public battle over the starting pitcher's innings limits during the end of 2015 regular season. Although Harvey has brought up the fact of a possible contract extension, very few players under Super agent Scott Boras have ended up doing so prior to said players free agency. With that being said, one such player Angels right handed pitcher Jered Weaver signed a long term deal prior to his free agency period. When you combine all that, along with the popular belief that the Mets will not be able to afford to sign him once he hits free agency, leads some to speculate that the Mets would look to trade Harvey this coming offseason.
Jon Heyman touched on the topic prior to 2015 season ending, saying that someone with the Mets suggested that they do expect calls on Harvey, but "would not discount him one iota." Nor should they and will they! Harvey is incredibly valuable: He is one of the best pitchers in baseball and is under team control for three more years. That low cost for an ace would be attractive to other teams as well. While he is due for a raise this offseason via arbitration, he will still make far less than what he could get on the open market.

Harvey has also established that he is healthy. Coming back from Tommy John surgery, he has fared about as well as could be expected. Despite a few rough patches during the season, he has been excellent overall, sporting a 2.88 ERA and a 3.29 x FIP (Fielding independent pitching.)

Beyond Harvey, the Mets have a strong stable of starting pitching with Jacob DeGrom going from an unheralded prospect to superstar almost overnight. Behind him, product of RA Dicky trade couple season ago Noah Syndergaard looked great in his debut season at the major league level, posting a 3.31 ERA and 3.39 FIP, and in a much smaller sample. After the big two you have Steven Matz whom was healthy towards latter part of 2015 season and impressed as well. The wild card for Mets is the return of Zack Wheeler whom had TJ surgery and missed all of 2015 season. He is expected to return at some point in 2016 along with the ever aging bartolo Colon rounding out the rotation.

If the Mets do look to trade Harvey once the season is over, it shouldn't be soly based on being sick of dealing with Matt Harvey the person. It should be because trading him can help the team, and because their pitching depth can help mitigate his loss. While they would surely miss Harvey, the Mets could trade him and still have a strong starting rotation for several years.

When you considering his immense value, the conversation shifts to the potential return he could command.  Let’s assume that Harvey is made available for free agency after 2018 season. When you look at what other top scale pitching received this offseason alone other  David Price (seven years 217 Mill), Zack Greinke(32 Mill Annually) it’s only telling what Harvey could receive once it’s all said and done. That’s why when you combine Harvey's salary will be far cheaper for what an “Ace” is making in today’s market perhaps the Mets could take advantage of that and acquire someone to fill a position of need, such as shortstop. Pete Abraham of the Boston Globe suggested a package headlined by Xander Bogaerts, but in any case the Mets would probably need to be bowled over to consider making a deal.
If something can’t get done for Bogaerts why not use Harvey to get someone impactful in return for example How about Colorado outfielder Carlos Gonzalez, whom need starting pitching BADLY! What about Royals center fielder Lorenzo Cain? He is a free agent after 2018 season and is a TRUE centerfielder compared to Cespedes who only has the bat not the tools. Just spitballing ideas; but it does leave one to ponder.


All things considered, if a good player is being dangled, there is no reason the Mets should not at least listen to offers for Harvey. If trading him makes the team demonstrably better, then they should do it, and if nothing materializes, they can sit back and let Harvey pitch for another three years before worrying about losing him.

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